2009 winners Kerry are starting as favorites to win this year's championship (according to the bookmakers). While runners-up for the 2009 Championship, Cork are second favorites.
For the longest time, Kerry always remain one of the top favorites to win the SFC championship every year and there is good reason for that. However, as the championship proceeded in the last few years, it goes wide open before narrowing to the top favorites (typically Kerry).
I don't think that this year's championship will be any different. Despite Kerry being favorites to win, I believe that they are not going to do it. They struggled to get through the back door last year to get to the final. Yes, they did win it, but they are good when they are in the final.
Phew, this year's winner is difficult to pick at this point. If you can't guess from my other blog posts over the last year, my heart goes with Galway, but I don't think they can do it either. They have great young talent and great management in new guy Joe Kernan, but they will have a long haul to get to the final.
My gut feeling at this point is that the Sam Maguire Cup will go to a county that has not won it in the last decade - so no Kerry, Tyrone, Galway or Armagh. And... Dublin could be that team! Also, watch out for the dark horse Donegal this year; if they do well in Ulster SF Championship. They could go all the way.
Finally, I wonder what the odds are of Mayo going all the way to this year's final and losing it again on the big day. Half decent odds would definitely worth a wager!
The typical odds for this year's championship by many of the bookmakers are:
Kerry 3/1
Cork 9/4
Tyrone 9/2
Dublin 8/1
Mayo 16/1
Galway 18/1
Armagh 25/1
Derry 25/1
Down 33/1
Monaghan 33/1
Meath 33/1
Kildare 40/1
Donegal 50/1
Limerick 80/1
Sligo 80/1
Laois 100/1
Antrim 150/1
Fermanagh 150/1
Wexford 200/1
Cavan 200/1
Wicklow 250/1
Offaly 300/1
Tipperary 300/1
Westmeath 350/1
Louth 500/1
Roscommon 500/1
Waterford 500/1
Longford 750/1
Carlow 1000/1
London 1000/1
Clare 1000/1
Leitrim 1000/1
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Sunday, May 9, 2010
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